Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.068446 3.542392 4.062367 4.674794 5.376024 6.153514 7.080638
2025-01-26 2.465677 3.100405 3.854960 4.816642 6.008347 7.435282 9.272445
2025-02-02 2.111453 2.860289 3.814772 5.117205 6.844764 9.054072 12.090643
2025-02-09 1.772318 2.567610 3.646850 5.212337 7.418559 10.409641 14.765170
2025-02-16 1.500622 2.310903 3.474784 5.258947 7.914331 11.707790 17.524314
2025-02-23 1.241952 2.023932 3.207740 5.117232 8.105081 12.582740 19.779193
2025-03-02 1.017229 1.747644 2.908810 4.872432 8.090658 13.131109 21.590323
2025-03-09 0.890774 1.606337 2.795935 4.896278 8.486671 14.339450 24.553938
2025-03-16 0.761435 1.438029 2.611770 4.770720 8.611417 15.113041 26.885847
2025-03-23 0.714422 1.406977 2.655604 5.038787 9.433348 17.129019 31.531788
2025-03-30 0.658761 1.350583 2.644771 5.203732 10.086673 18.917602 35.971175
2025-04-06 0.590357 1.258670 2.554533 5.206123 10.436123 20.193528 39.613842
2025-04-13 0.497694 1.106293 2.332227 4.933583 10.247416 20.492098 41.541349
2025-04-20 0.465756 1.075470 2.347053 5.135930 11.016691 22.696190 47.392986
2025-04-27 0.450128 1.077522 2.429632 5.489004 12.135897 25.710337 55.197692
2025-05-04 0.415970 1.032467 2.405553 5.610853 12.785862 27.851898 61.468533
2025-05-11 0.381078 0.980010 2.357598 5.672839 13.312886 29.794704 67.539370
2025-05-18 0.336249 0.896186 2.226454 5.527208 13.358714 30.716139 71.511630
2025-05-25 0.290408 0.802015 2.057157 5.267313 13.106452 30.950166 73.975435
2025-06-01 0.266648 0.760961 2.010127 5.295305 13.532626 32.746296 80.172151
2025-06-08 0.237123 0.699583 1.903795 5.161175 13.549436 33.601947 84.276303
2025-06-15 0.231008 0.701846 1.960677 5.451213 14.652828 37.128814 95.109469
2025-06-22 0.219991 0.688390 1.974332 5.629678 15.494119 40.113301 104.941064